Lexington vs Greenville Triumph Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lexington v Greenville Triumph — Team-Based Signals
Lexington vs Greenville Triumph Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Lexington
USL1
1-1
HT 0-0
Greenville Triumph
USL1
0-2
HT 0-1
Greenville Triumph
USL1
Lexington 2-3 Greenville Triumph — Actual Match Statistics
Greenville Triumph edged past Lexington 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Greenville Triumph made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Lexington had 39% of the ball to Greenville Triumph's 61%, shots finished 10-26, expected goals 1.76 to 1.91.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Greenville Triumph led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lexington and 1.33 for Greenville Triumph.
What was the final score of Lexington vs Greenville Triumph?
Lexington 2-3 Greenville Triumph in the USA - USL League 1 on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lexington vs Greenville Triumph?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lexington win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lexington 39%, draw 25%, Greenville Triumph 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.