Central Valley Fuego 0-3 Forward Madison — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 30 Mar 2024

Central Valley Fuego
0-3 HT 0-3
Forward Madison
📅30/03/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2024

Central Valley Fuego vs Forward Madison Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
35%
3.35
Away
30%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.86
Over 2.5
45%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.8pp
35%
Draw
26%
+8.6pp
30%
Away Win
42%
-12.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.9pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Valley Fuego v Forward Madison — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Valley Fuego EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Forward Madison EU Bookmakers 46%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.15/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.48
-38% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 82%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.2
17.9 Crosses 17.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Central Valley Fuego vs Forward Madison Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Valley Fuego
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Forward Madison
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.16 xG 1.08
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
344 Passes 364
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 15
18 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 4-4 HT 3-2 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
09.07.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-0 HT 1-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
04.06.2023 Forward Madison Forward Madison 1-2 HT 1-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1
22.09.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 3-0 HT 1-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
29.05.2022 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego 1-1 HT 0-0 Forward Madison Forward Madison USL1
01.05.2022 Forward Madison Forward Madison 0-1 HT 0-0 Central Valley Fuego Central Valley Fuego USL1

Central Valley Fuego 0-3 Forward Madison — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Valley Fuego
0-3
AWAY Forward Madison
0.89 xG 0.79
37% Ball Possession 63%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
263 Passes 515
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 23
19 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Central Valley Fuego vs Forward Madison
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Forward Madison cruised past Central Valley Fuego 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (35% / 35% / 30%) promised a tight game; Forward Madison found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Valley Fuego had 37% of the ball to Forward Madison's 63%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.89 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Valley Fuego had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Central Valley Fuego and 1.17 for Forward Madison.

What was the final score of Central Valley Fuego vs Forward Madison?

Central Valley Fuego 0-3 Forward Madison in the USA - USL League 1 on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Valley Fuego vs Forward Madison?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Valley Fuego win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Central Valley Fuego 35%, draw 35%, Forward Madison 30%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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