One Knoxville 1-0 Tormenta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
51%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-0.5pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.2pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME One Knoxville EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Tormenta EU Bookmakers 28%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +18%
1.34/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.32
+12% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
19.3 Crosses 11.5
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME One Knoxville
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Tormenta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.58 xG 0.85
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 313
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 19
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 1-0 HT 1-0 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
02.09.2023 Tormenta Tormenta 1-3 HT 0-2 One Knoxville One Knoxville USL1
22.04.2023 One Knoxville One Knoxville 0-2 HT 0-0 Tormenta Tormenta USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME One Knoxville
1-0
AWAY Tormenta
1.18 xG 0.67
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
368 Passes 275
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
30 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH One Knoxville vs Tormenta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

One Knoxville squeezed past Tormenta 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had One Knoxville as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, One Knoxville had 55% of the ball to Tormenta's 45%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 1.18 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Tormenta led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for One Knoxville and 1.33 for Tormenta.

What was the final score of One Knoxville vs Tormenta?

One Knoxville 1-0 Tormenta in the USA - USL League 1 on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for One Knoxville vs Tormenta?

Before kick-off our model rated a One Knoxville win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split One Knoxville 41%, draw 24%, Tormenta 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (One Knoxville), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (One Knoxville) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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