Tormenta 2-1 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 26 Jun 2025

📅26/06/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tormenta EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 34%
-15% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.38/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.01
-6% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +47%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
365 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 76%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.1
19.4 Crosses 11.4
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tormenta
2-1
AWAY Naples
0.91 xG 1.11
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
281 Passes 315
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 13
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tormenta vs Naples
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tormenta edged past Naples 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 27% / 35%) promised a tight game; Tormenta found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Tormenta had 49% of the ball to Naples's 51%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.91 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Tormenta vs Naples?

Tormenta 2-1 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 26/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tormenta vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tormenta win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Tormenta 38%, draw 27%, Naples 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tormenta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tormenta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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