Houston FC 4-3 Hill Country Lobos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
Over 2.5
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.1pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+4.9pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.5pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Houston FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hill Country Lobos EU Bookmakers 32%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+4% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +74%
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
328 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 420 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Houston FC squeezed past Hill Country Lobos 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Houston FC as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos?

Houston FC 4-3 Hill Country Lobos in the USA - USL League 2 on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Houston FC vs Hill Country Lobos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Houston FC win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Houston FC 44%, draw 23%, Hill Country Lobos 33%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Houston FC), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Houston FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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