Western Mass Pioneers 1-1 Black Rock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 4 Jul 2026

📅04/07/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
23%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.18
Over 2.5
57%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
51%
+4.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-1.6pp
23%
Away Win
26%
-2.4pp
43%
Under 2.5
42%
+1.1pp
57%
Over 2.5
58%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.1pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Mass Pioneers EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Black Rock EU Bookmakers 29%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.77/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-8% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +84%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Mass Pioneers
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Black Rock
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 3
10 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.06.2025 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 1-1 HT 1-1 Black Rock Black Rock USL2
03.07.2024 Black Rock Black Rock 0-1 HT 0-1 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers USL2
01.06.2024 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 5-0 Black Rock Black Rock USL2
04.06.2023 Western Mass Pioneers Western Mass Pioneers 0-0 HT 0-0 Black Rock Black Rock USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Mass Pioneers
1-1
AWAY Black Rock
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Western Mass Pioneers vs Black Rock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western Mass Pioneers and Black Rock couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Western Mass Pioneers carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Western Mass Pioneers had 54% of the ball to Black Rock's 46%, shots finished 18-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Western Mass Pioneers had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Western Mass Pioneers and 0.25 for Black Rock.

What was the final score of Western Mass Pioneers vs Black Rock?

Western Mass Pioneers 1-1 Black Rock in the USA - USL League 2 on 04/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Mass Pioneers vs Black Rock?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Mass Pioneers win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Western Mass Pioneers 55%, draw 21%, Black Rock 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Mass Pioneers), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Mass Pioneers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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