Opava 4-2 Sparta Prag II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.23
Over 2.5
48%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
51%
-2.6pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.9pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.0pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Opava EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.55/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.63
-6% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Opava
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Sparta Prag II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.09.2023 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 0-0 HT 0-0 Opava Opava ÇEK2
19.04.2023 Opava Opava 1-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
18.09.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-0 HT 1-0 Opava Opava ÇEK2
06.05.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-2 HT 0-1 Opava Opava ÇEK2
06.11.2021 Opava Opava 2-0 HT 2-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Opava
4-2
AWAY Sparta Prag II
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Opava vs Sparta Prag II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Opava got the better of Sparta Prag II 4-2. Half-time: 2-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Opava as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Opava had 54% of the ball to Sparta Prag II's 46%, shots finished 12-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Opava and 0.80 for Sparta Prag II.

What was the final score of Opava vs Sparta Prag II?

Opava 4-2 Sparta Prag II in the Czech Republic - FNL on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Opava vs Sparta Prag II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Opava win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Opava 48%, draw 23%, Sparta Prag II 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Opava) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Opava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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