Graffin Vlasim 1-1 Lisen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
47%
-6.2pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+7.7pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Lisen EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +17%
1.87/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.17
+22% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Graffin Vlasim
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Lisen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2024 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 4-5 HT 3-2 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
16.09.2023 Lisen Lisen 2-2 HT 1-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
05.03.2023 Lisen Lisen 2-0 HT 1-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
13.08.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-2 HT 1-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
12.03.2022 Lisen Lisen 1-3 HT 0-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
15.08.2021 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 4-1 HT 1-1 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Graffin Vlasim
1-1
AWAY Lisen
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Graffin Vlasim vs Lisen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Graffin Vlasim and Lisen shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Graffin Vlasim at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Graffin Vlasim had 56% of the ball to Lisen's 44%, shots finished 14-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lisen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Graffin Vlasim and 2.17 for Lisen.

What was the final score of Graffin Vlasim vs Lisen?

Graffin Vlasim 1-1 Lisen in the Czech Republic - FNL on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Graffin Vlasim vs Lisen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Graffin Vlasim win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Graffin Vlasim 41%, draw 24%, Lisen 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Graffin Vlasim), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Graffin Vlasim) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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