Graffin Vlasim 4-5 Lisen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.68
Over 2.5
41%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-4.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Graffin Vlasim EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Lisen EU Bookmakers 31%
+3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +7%
1.86/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.01
+25% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +53%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
369 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Graffin Vlasim
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Lisen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
16.09.2023 Lisen Lisen 2-2 HT 1-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
05.03.2023 Lisen Lisen 2-0 HT 1-0 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
13.08.2022 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 1-2 HT 1-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
12.03.2022 Lisen Lisen 1-3 HT 0-1 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim ÇEK2
15.08.2021 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 4-1 HT 1-1 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
11.04.2021 Graffin Vlasim Graffin Vlasim 2-1 HT 1-0 Lisen Lisen ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Graffin Vlasim
4-5
AWAY Lisen
58% Ball Possession 42%
25 Total Shots 13
11 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Graffin Vlasim vs Lisen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lisen edged past Graffin Vlasim 5-4 away from home. It was 3-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Lisen made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Graffin Vlasim had 58% of the ball to Lisen's 42%, shots finished 25-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Graffin Vlasim had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Graffin Vlasim and 1.50 for Lisen.

What was the final score of Graffin Vlasim vs Lisen?

Graffin Vlasim 4-5 Lisen in the Czech Republic - FNL on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Graffin Vlasim vs Lisen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Graffin Vlasim win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Graffin Vlasim 40%, draw 28%, Lisen 32%. The final score 4-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Graffin Vlasim) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇEK2 More Czech Republic - FNL
17 Apr 2024
17:30 Prostejov vs Vyskov Analysis →
18:00 MAS Taborsko vs Viktoria Zizkov Analysis →
18:00 Sparta Prag II vs Pribram Analysis →
18:00 Sigma Olomouc II vs Hanacka Analysis →
18:00 Chrudim vs Varnsdorf Analysis →
18:00 Dukla Prag vs Opava Analysis →