Sparta Prag II 5-1 Pribram — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
33%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
14%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
33%
-0.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sparta Prag II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pribram EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
1.38/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.56
-9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 395 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sparta Prag II
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Pribram
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.09.2023 Pribram Pribram 2-1 HT 1-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
24.05.2023 Pribram Pribram 1-0 HT 0-0 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
06.11.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 0-3 HT 0-2 Pribram Pribram ÇEK2
20.03.2022 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II 1-1 HT 0-0 Pribram Pribram ÇEK2
21.08.2021 Pribram Pribram 0-2 HT 0-1 Sparta Prag II Sparta Prag II ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sparta Prag II
5-1
AWAY Pribram
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sparta Prag II vs Pribram
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sparta Prag II swept aside Pribram 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Sparta Prag II made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Sparta Prag II had 47% of the ball to Pribram's 53%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Pribram led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Sparta Prag II and 1.40 for Pribram.

What was the final score of Sparta Prag II vs Pribram?

Sparta Prag II 5-1 Pribram in the Czech Republic - FNL on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sparta Prag II vs Pribram?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sparta Prag II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sparta Prag II 39%, draw 28%, Pribram 33%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sparta Prag II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sparta Prag II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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