Chrudim 1-1 Varnsdorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 17 Apr 2024

Chrudim
1-1 HT 0-0
Varnsdorf
📅17/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Czech Republic - FNL – 2023/2024

Chrudim vs Varnsdorf Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.0
Over 2.5
47%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.2pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chrudim v Varnsdorf — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chrudim EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 30%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.54/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.38
-3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +10%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
311 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7

Chrudim vs Varnsdorf Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chrudim
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Varnsdorf
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
17.09.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 3-3 HT 1-1 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
20.05.2023 Chrudim Chrudim 3-2 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
30.10.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-2 HT 1-0 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
17.04.2022 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-2 HT 0-1 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2
02.10.2021 Chrudim Chrudim 0-0 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
14.04.2021 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-2 HT 0-2 Chrudim Chrudim ÇEK2

Chrudim 1-1 Varnsdorf — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chrudim
1-1
AWAY Varnsdorf
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Chrudim vs Varnsdorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chrudim and Varnsdorf couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Chrudim at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chrudim had 54% of the ball to Varnsdorf's 46%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chrudim had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chrudim and 1.50 for Varnsdorf.

What was the final score of Chrudim vs Varnsdorf?

Chrudim 1-1 Varnsdorf in the Czech Republic - FNL on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chrudim vs Varnsdorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chrudim win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chrudim 42%, draw 26%, Varnsdorf 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Chrudim) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chrudim) ✓ Under 2.5
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