St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
St Patricks v Sligo Rovers — Team-Based Signals
St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 1-0
Sligo Rovers
İRL
0-2
HT 0-2
St Patricks
İRL
0-1
HT 0-0
Sligo Rovers
İRL
2-1
HT 1-0
St Patricks
İRL
St Patricks 3-2 Sligo Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
St Patricks edged past Sligo Rovers 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, St Patricks had 51% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 49%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.15 to 0.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold St Patricks's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St Patricks and 0.67 for Sligo Rovers.
What was the final score of St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers?
St Patricks 3-2 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers?
Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 49%, draw 26%, Sligo Rovers 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.