St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers Prediction — Model Probabilities
St Patricks v Sligo Rovers — Team-Based Signals
St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St Patricks 3-2 Sligo Rovers — Actual Match Statistics
St Patricks edged past Sligo Rovers 3-2. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had St Patricks as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals call finished the job: both teams to score (55%) landed.
On the day, St Patricks had 51% of the ball to Sligo Rovers's 49%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.15 to 0.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold St Patricks's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St Patricks and 0.67 for Sligo Rovers.
St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers Result & Final Score
St Patricks 3 - 2 Sligo Rovers in the Ireland - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St Patricks vs Sligo Rovers Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split St Patricks 53%, draw 26%, Sligo Rovers 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St Patricks), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.