Sligo Rovers 1-0 St Patricks — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
37%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.64
Over 2.5
38%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.9
No
57%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.46
6+ Goals
9%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.63 — our 34% vs market 31.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.79
1/2
7%
30.0
1/X
6%
14.05
X/1
11%
6.19
X/2
13%
4.7
X/X
16%
4.04
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
17%
3.26
2/X
7%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
30%
+4.1pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-3.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
57%
+4.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
43%
-4.9pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sligo Rovers EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY St Patricks EU Bookmakers 45%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
0.79/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.15
-25% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
254 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
17.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.7
19.2 Crosses 18.6
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sligo Rovers
3W-0D-3L
AWAY St Patricks
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.56 xG 0.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
235 Passes 317
69% Pass Accuracy 75%
10 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 St Patricks St Patricks 3-0 HT 2-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
23.10.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 1-0 HT 1-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
04.08.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 0-2 HT 0-2 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
01.05.2023 St Patricks St Patricks 0-1 HT 0-0 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers İRL
06.03.2023 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 2-1 HT 1-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
28.10.2022 Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers 1-0 HT 0-0 St Patricks St Patricks İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sligo Rovers
1-0
AWAY St Patricks
0.17 xG 1.49
33% Ball Possession 67%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
147 Passes 381
57% Pass Accuracy 74%
11 Box Touches 21
5 Crosses 22
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sligo Rovers squeezed past St Patricks 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 28% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sligo Rovers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sligo Rovers had 33% of the ball to St Patricks's 67%, shots finished 7-12, expected goals 0.17 to 1.49 — on chances, St Patricks could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sligo Rovers and 1.17 for St Patricks.

What was the final score of Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks?

Sligo Rovers 1-0 St Patricks in the Ireland - Premier League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sligo Rovers vs St Patricks?

Before kick-off our model rated an St Patricks win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sligo Rovers 35%, draw 28%, St Patricks 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St Patricks) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (St Patricks) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İRL More Ireland - Premier League
6 May 2024
15:00 Drogheda United vs Dundalk Analysis →
19:00 Bohemians vs Galway United Analysis →
19:00 Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC Analysis →
21:45 Derry City vs Shelbourne Analysis →