Drogheda United vs Dundalk Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Drogheda United v Dundalk — Team-Based Signals
Drogheda United vs Dundalk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-1
Drogheda United
İRL
1-2
HT 1-0
Dundalk
İRL
3-2
HT 2-0
Drogheda United
İRL
0-1
HT 0-0
Dundalk
İRL
Drogheda United 2-1 Dundalk — Actual Match Statistics
Drogheda United nicked a narrow win over Dundalk 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Drogheda United found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Drogheda United had 37% of the ball to Dundalk's 63%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.86 to 0.72.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dundalk led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Drogheda United and 1.67 for Dundalk.
What was the final score of Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
Drogheda United 2-1 Dundalk in the Ireland - Premier League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Drogheda United vs Dundalk?
Before kick-off our model rated an Dundalk win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Drogheda United 35%, draw 26%, Dundalk 39%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.