Derry City 1-1 Shelbourne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.41
Over 2.5
35%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
1.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
6.77
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.72
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
4%
16.3
X/1
26%
3.86
X/2
8%
8.1
X/X
14%
3.37
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
11%
7.59
2/X
11%
17.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+1.9pp
65%
Under 2.5
67%
-2.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
33%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.2pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Derry City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Shelbourne EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
1.46/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/0.83
-8% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 247 · 72%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
24.3 Crosses 11.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Derry City
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Shelbourne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
0.70 xG 0.59
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
341 Passes 333
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
14 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.04.2024 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-0 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
20.10.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
30.06.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 1-1 HT 0-0 Derry City Derry City İRL
02.06.2023 Derry City Derry City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRL
31.03.2023 Shelbourne Shelbourne 0-1 HT 0-1 Derry City Derry City İRL
13.11.2022 Derry City Derry City 4-0 HT 2-0 Shelbourne Shelbourne İRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Derry City
1-1
AWAY Shelbourne
1.52 xG 0.53
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
314 Passes 530
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
16 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 16
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Derry City vs Shelbourne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Derry City and Shelbourne shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Derry City at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Derry City had 39% of the ball to Shelbourne's 61%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.52 to 0.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Derry City had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Derry City and 0.17 for Shelbourne.

What was the final score of Derry City vs Shelbourne?

Derry City 1-1 Shelbourne in the Ireland - Premier League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Derry City vs Shelbourne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Derry City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Derry City 48%, draw 29%, Shelbourne 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Derry City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Derry City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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