Shamrock Rovers 1-3 Waterford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - Premier League, 6 May 2024

📅06/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.45
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.9
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 31% vs market 20.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.77
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
17.7
X/1
20%
3.61
X/2
8%
13.55
X/X
12%
6.09
2/1
7%
22.7
2/2
9%
10.8
2/X
5%
18.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
65%
-8.3pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.8pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shamrock Rovers EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Waterford FC EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +13%
1.52/0.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.57/1.52
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +34%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
370 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 71%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
25.8 Crosses 14.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shamrock Rovers
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Waterford FC
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.22 xG 0.49
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
170 Passes 215
65% Pass Accuracy 66%
14 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.04.2024 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
05.11.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-3 HT 1-0 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
10.09.2021 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 2-0 HT 0-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
18.06.2021 Waterford FC Waterford FC 1-4 HT 1-1 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers İRL
03.05.2021 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 3-0 HT 2-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
21.09.2020 Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers 6-1 HT 3-0 Waterford FC Waterford FC İRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shamrock Rovers
1-3
AWAY Waterford FC
1.84 xG 0.36
72% Ball Possession 28%
20 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
489 Passes 134
86% Pass Accuracy 60%
28 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Waterford FC saw off Shamrock Rovers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

This one beat our numbers. Shamrock Rovers carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shamrock Rovers had 72% of the ball to Waterford FC's 28%, shots finished 20-8, expected goals 1.84 to 0.36 — on chances, Shamrock Rovers could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shamrock Rovers had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Shamrock Rovers and 0.67 for Waterford FC.

What was the final score of Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Shamrock Rovers 1-3 Waterford FC in the Ireland - Premier League on 06/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shamrock Rovers vs Waterford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Shamrock Rovers 56%, draw 22%, Waterford FC 22%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shamrock Rovers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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