Skövde AIK 0-2 Örgryte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.88
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.17
6+ Goals
10%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 28% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.87
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
15%
7.14
X/2
13%
4.86
X/X
12%
4.88
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
18%
2.82
2/X
7%
12.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Örgryte EU Bookmakers 49%
+22% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -11%
1.43/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.41
+1% / +97% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skövde AIK
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Örgryte
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.06.2024 Örgryte Örgryte 2-0 HT 1-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
14.08.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 1-2 HT 0-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
22.07.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 2-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
29.10.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 3-0 HT 1-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
10.07.2022 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 2-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
17.08.2014 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 0-1 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ3
POST-MATCH Skövde AIK vs Örgryte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte got the better of Skövde AIK 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (36% / 26% / 38%) promised a tight game; Örgryte found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Skövde AIK and 1.33 for Örgryte.

What was the final score of Skövde AIK vs Örgryte?

Skövde AIK 0-2 Örgryte in the Sweden - Superettan on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skövde AIK vs Örgryte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Skövde AIK 36%, draw 26%, Örgryte 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örgryte), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Örgryte) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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