Örgryte 2-0 Skövde AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 30 Jun 2024

Örgryte
2-0 HT 1-0
Skövde AIK
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Örgryte vs Skövde AIK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.64
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.66
No
50%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.33
2-3 Goals
44%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.33 — our 25% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.08
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.05
X/1
9%
4.13
X/2
10%
10.2
X/X
11%
5.63
2/1
6%
21.45
2/2
11%
7.34
2/X
8%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
57%
-11.8pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.7pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örgryte v Skövde AIK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örgryte EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 23%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -13%
1.59/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.58
-7% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Örgryte vs Skövde AIK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örgryte
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Skövde AIK
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.08.2023 Örgryte Örgryte 1-2 HT 0-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
22.07.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 2-0 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
29.10.2022 Örgryte Örgryte 3-0 HT 1-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
10.07.2022 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 2-1 HT 1-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ2
17.08.2014 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 0-1 HT 0-0 Örgryte Örgryte İSÇ3
21.04.2014 Örgryte Örgryte 1-0 HT 1-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ3

Örgryte 2-0 Skövde AIK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Örgryte
2-0
AWAY Skövde AIK
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Örgryte vs Skövde AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örgryte got the better of Skövde AIK 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Örgryte as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Örgryte had 54% of the ball to Skövde AIK's 46%, shots finished 17-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Örgryte and 1.00 for Skövde AIK.

What was the final score of Örgryte vs Skövde AIK?

Örgryte 2-0 Skövde AIK in the Sweden - Superettan on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örgryte vs Skövde AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örgryte win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Örgryte 45%, draw 28%, Skövde AIK 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örgryte), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Örgryte) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
30 Jun 2024
14:00 Landskrona vs Östersunds FK Analysis →
16:00 Trelleborgs FF vs Östers Analysis →