Landskrona 4-3 Östersunds FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 30 Jun 2024

Landskrona
4-3 HT 2-0
Östersunds FK
📅30/06/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Landskrona vs Östersunds FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.7
No
57%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.58
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.35
6+ Goals
9%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.58 — our 31% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.42
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.2
X/1
13%
4.34
X/2
10%
8.53
X/X
11%
4.84
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
12%
6.29
2/X
6%
13.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.3pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
55%
-11.6pp
57%
BTTS No
45%
+11.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Landskrona v Östersunds FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Landskrona EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.65/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.08
+0% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +48%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.3

Landskrona vs Östersunds FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Landskrona
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Östersunds FK
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.03.2024 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-0 HT 0-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇK
05.08.2023 Landskrona Landskrona 0-1 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
15.07.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 4-1 HT 1-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
07.08.2022 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Landskrona Landskrona İSÇ2
23.07.2022 Landskrona Landskrona 1-1 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
21.02.2021 Landskrona Landskrona 0-3 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇK

Landskrona 4-3 Östersunds FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Landskrona
4-3
AWAY Östersunds FK
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Landskrona vs Östersunds FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Landskrona nicked a narrow win over Östersunds FK 4-3. Half-time: 2-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Landskrona as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Landskrona had 62% of the ball to Östersunds FK's 38%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östersunds FK led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Landskrona and 2.17 for Östersunds FK.

What was the final score of Landskrona vs Östersunds FK?

Landskrona 4-3 Östersunds FK in the Sweden - Superettan on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Landskrona vs Östersunds FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Landskrona win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Landskrona 46%, draw 26%, Östersunds FK 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Landskrona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Landskrona) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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