Trelleborgs FF 1-4 Östers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 30 Jun 2024

📅30/06/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
44%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.6
No
43%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.49
2-3 Goals
46%
1.9
4-5 Goals
20%
2.91
6+ Goals
11%
8.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
6.18
1/2
5%
21.3
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.1
X/1
12%
8.92
X/2
15%
4.32
X/X
8%
5.65
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
25%
2.26
2/X
8%
13.65
Value flag · 1/X at 14.1 — our 10% vs market 4.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.5pp
44%
Away Win
53%
-8.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.3pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Östers EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.16/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.02/1.63
-17% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -48%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 418 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trelleborgs FF
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Östers
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-3 HT 0-2 Östers Östers İSÇ2
10.04.2023 Östers Östers 5-2 HT 3-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
05.11.2022 Östers Östers 0-1 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
22.05.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-2 HT 1-2 Östers Östers İSÇ2
31.08.2021 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2
10.08.2021 Östers Östers 0-0 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Trelleborgs FF vs Östers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers cruised past Trelleborgs FF 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Östers as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Trelleborgs FF and 1.67 for Östers.

What was the final score of Trelleborgs FF vs Östers?

Trelleborgs FF 1-4 Östers in the Sweden - Superettan on 30/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trelleborgs FF vs Östers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trelleborgs FF 30%, draw 26%, Östers 44%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Östers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İSÇ2 More Sweden - Superettan
30 Jun 2024
14:00 Landskrona vs Östersunds FK Analysis →
16:00 Örgryte vs Skövde AIK Analysis →