Vaduz 3-2 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.49
No
45%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.69
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
7.96
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.7pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
31%
Away Win
33%
-1.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
63%
-8.2pp
45%
BTTS No
37%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vaduz EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 37%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.42/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.09
+10% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.6
13.8 Crosses 16.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vaduz
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wil 1900
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.10 xG 1.81
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
335 Passes 317
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.04.2024 Vaduz Vaduz 3-1 HT 1-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
10.02.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 1-0 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
24.11.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 2-2 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
30.07.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 3-2 HT 1-1 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
20.05.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 2-0 HT 1-0 Vaduz Vaduz İSV2
27.01.2023 Vaduz Vaduz 2-2 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vaduz
3-2
AWAY Wil 1900
1.40 xG 0.98
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
372 Passes 212
81% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 19
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Vaduz vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vaduz edged past Wil 1900 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vaduz as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Vaduz had 60% of the ball to Wil 1900's 40%, shots finished 15-14, expected goals 1.40 to 0.98.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wil 1900 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Vaduz and 1.83 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Vaduz vs Wil 1900?

Vaduz 3-2 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vaduz vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vaduz win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Vaduz 42%, draw 26%, Wil 1900 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vaduz), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vaduz) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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