Lausanne Sports 3-4 St. Gallen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - Super League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.56
1/2
7%
24.85
1/X
6%
12.5
X/1
7%
5.89
X/2
12%
5.75
X/X
14%
5.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
25.5
2/2
14%
3.43
2/X
9%
12.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 11% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.9pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-4.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lausanne Sports EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Gallen EU Bookmakers 40%
-6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -3%
1.30/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.42
-2% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
309 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 78%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.4
16.5 Crosses 17.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lausanne Sports
1W-1D-4L
AWAY St. Gallen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.25 xG 2.23
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
266 Passes 320
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 3
04.04.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 3-3 HT 1-2 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
20.01.2024 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
02.09.2023 St. Gallen St. Gallen 2-1 HT 0-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
22.05.2022 St. Gallen St. Gallen 4-0 HT 1-0 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
30.01.2022 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports 1-5 HT 1-2 St. Gallen St. Gallen İSV
21.11.2021 St. Gallen St. Gallen 0-1 HT 0-1 Lausanne Sports Lausanne Sports İSV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lausanne Sports
3-4
AWAY St. Gallen
3.12 xG 1.96
51% Ball Possession 49%
21 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 2
277 Passes 275
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
39 Box Touches 18
32 Crosses 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Lausanne Sports vs St. Gallen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Gallen edged past Lausanne Sports 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; St. Gallen found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Lausanne Sports had 51% of the ball to St. Gallen's 49%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 3.12 to 1.96 — on chances, Lausanne Sports could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Gallen led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Lausanne Sports and 2.50 for St. Gallen.

What was the final score of Lausanne Sports vs St. Gallen?

Lausanne Sports 3-4 St. Gallen in the Switzerland - Super League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lausanne Sports vs St. Gallen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lausanne Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Lausanne Sports 39%, draw 29%, St. Gallen 32%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lausanne Sports) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lausanne Sports) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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