Cesena vs Padova Calcio Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cesena v Padova Calcio — Team-Based Signals
Cesena vs Padova Calcio Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Cesena
İTC
0-2
HT 0-0
Padova Calcio
İTC
1-1
HT 0-0
Padova Calcio
İTC
1-0
HT 1-0
Cesena
İTC
0-1
HT 0-0
Cesena
nan
0-1
HT 0-0
Padova Calcio
nan
Cesena 3-1 Padova Calcio — Actual Match Statistics
Cesena beat Padova Calcio 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cesena as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Cesena had 44% of the ball to Padova Calcio's 56%, shots finished 16-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Cesena and 0.83 for Padova Calcio.
What was the final score of Cesena vs Padova Calcio?
Cesena 3-1 Padova Calcio in the Italy - Cup on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cesena vs Padova Calcio?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cesena win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Cesena 55%, draw 23%, Padova Calcio 22%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cesena), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.