BAK 07 U19 5-3 Magdeburg U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
48%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.74
Over 2.5
60%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-3.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
33%
+7.2pp
60%
Over 2.5
67%
-7.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.6pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BAK 07 U19 EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Magdeburg U19 EU Bookmakers 56%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
357 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BAK 07 U19
5-3
AWAY Magdeburg U19
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH BAK 07 U19 vs Magdeburg U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BAK 07 U19 saw off Magdeburg U19 5-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Magdeburg U19 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, BAK 07 U19 had 38% of the ball to Magdeburg U19's 62%, shots finished 14-14.

What was the final score of BAK 07 U19 vs Magdeburg U19?

BAK 07 U19 5-3 Magdeburg U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BAK 07 U19 vs Magdeburg U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Magdeburg U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split BAK 07 U19 30%, draw 22%, Magdeburg U19 48%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Magdeburg U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Magdeburg U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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