RB Leipzig U19 1-1 Dynamo Dresden U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
61%
-10.0pp
27%
Draw
20%
+7.0pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.5pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig U19 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden U19 EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
2.67/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/2.73
+14% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
435 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 74%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig U19
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden U19
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
13.04.2024 RB Leipzig U19 RB Leipzig U19 3-2 HT 2-1 Dynamo Dresden U19 Dynamo Dresden U19 ALU19
29.10.2023 Dynamo Dresden U19 Dynamo Dresden U19 2-2 HT 1-1 RB Leipzig U19 RB Leipzig U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig U19
1-1
AWAY Dynamo Dresden U19
0.86 xG 1.40
67% Ball Possession 33%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
438 Passes 174
83% Pass Accuracy 68%
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig U19 vs Dynamo Dresden U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig U19 and Dynamo Dresden U19 shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was RB Leipzig U19 at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, RB Leipzig U19 had 67% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden U19's 33%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.86 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, RB Leipzig U19 had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for RB Leipzig U19 and 2.00 for Dynamo Dresden U19.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig U19 vs Dynamo Dresden U19?

RB Leipzig U19 1-1 Dynamo Dresden U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig U19 vs Dynamo Dresden U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig U19 51%, draw 27%, Dynamo Dresden U19 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (RB Leipzig U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (RB Leipzig U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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