RB Leipzig U19 3-2 Dynamo Dresden U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.61
Draw
16%
4.08
Away
25%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.74
Over 2.5
58%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.46
No
53%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.9pp
16%
Draw
21%
-5.2pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
33%
+9.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
67%
-9.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
64%
-17.3pp
53%
BTTS No
36%
+17.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RB Leipzig U19 EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Dynamo Dresden U19 EU Bookmakers 24%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.49/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/3.00
+17% / -43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -32%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
34.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RB Leipzig U19
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Dynamo Dresden U19
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
29.10.2023 Dynamo Dresden U19 Dynamo Dresden U19 2-2 HT 1-1 RB Leipzig U19 RB Leipzig U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RB Leipzig U19
3-2
AWAY Dynamo Dresden U19
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
POST-MATCH RB Leipzig U19 vs Dynamo Dresden U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RB Leipzig U19 squeezed past Dynamo Dresden U19 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had RB Leipzig U19 as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, RB Leipzig U19 had 51% of the ball to Dynamo Dresden U19's 49%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of RB Leipzig U19 vs Dynamo Dresden U19?

RB Leipzig U19 3-2 Dynamo Dresden U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RB Leipzig U19 vs Dynamo Dresden U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a RB Leipzig U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split RB Leipzig U19 59%, draw 16%, Dynamo Dresden U19 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RB Leipzig U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (RB Leipzig U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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