St. Pauli U19 0-1 Union Berlin U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.43
Over 2.5
63%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.43
No
40%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
31%
Away Win
39%
-7.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
66%
-6.2pp
40%
BTTS No
34%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Pauli U19 EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Berlin U19 EU Bookmakers 43%
+42% / +42% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.00/0.00
-14% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
330 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Pauli U19
0-1
AWAY Union Berlin U19
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH St. Pauli U19 vs Union Berlin U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin U19 edged past St. Pauli U19 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was St. Pauli U19 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Pauli U19 had 56% of the ball to Union Berlin U19's 44%, shots finished 13-6.

What was the final score of St. Pauli U19 vs Union Berlin U19?

St. Pauli U19 0-1 Union Berlin U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Pauli U19 vs Union Berlin U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a St. Pauli U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split St. Pauli U19 42%, draw 26%, Union Berlin U19 31%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Pauli U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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