VfB Stuttgart U19 3-2 Heidenheim U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - U19 Bundesliga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
25%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.59
Over 2.5
54%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-9.0pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+8.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
35%
+11.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
65%
-11.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.0pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VfB Stuttgart U19 EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Heidenheim U19 EU Bookmakers 20%
-43% / -43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
2.32/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/1.07
+9% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / +115%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VfB Stuttgart U19
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Heidenheim U19
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.10.2023 Heidenheim U19 Heidenheim U19 2-0 VfB Stuttgart U19 VfB Stuttgart U19 ALU19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME VfB Stuttgart U19
3-2
AWAY Heidenheim U19
66% Ball Possession 34%
18 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Heidenheim U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

VfB Stuttgart U19 nicked a narrow win over Heidenheim U19 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had VfB Stuttgart U19 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, VfB Stuttgart U19 had 66% of the ball to Heidenheim U19's 34%, shots finished 18-10.

What was the final score of VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Heidenheim U19?

VfB Stuttgart U19 3-2 Heidenheim U19 in the Germany - U19 Bundesliga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VfB Stuttgart U19 vs Heidenheim U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a VfB Stuttgart U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split VfB Stuttgart U19 55%, draw 21%, Heidenheim U19 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (VfB Stuttgart U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (VfB Stuttgart U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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