San Telmo 3-0 Brown De Adrogue — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.72
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
25%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.44
No
60%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
55%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
25%
Away Win
18%
+6.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
-0.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
+0.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
37%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS No
63%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Telmo EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Brown De Adrogue EU Bookmakers 21%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -5%
0.72/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.21
-47% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Telmo
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Brown De Adrogue
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.03.2024 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 0-0 HT 0-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
21.08.2022 San Telmo San Telmo 1-1 HT 0-1 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
21.08.2021 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue 2-2 HT 2-0 San Telmo San Telmo ARJPBN
11.04.2021 San Telmo San Telmo 2-1 HT 2-0 Brown De Adrogue Brown De Adrogue ARJPBN
POST-MATCH San Telmo vs Brown De Adrogue
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Telmo cruised past Brown De Adrogue 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had San Telmo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, San Telmo had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for San Telmo and 1.00 for Brown De Adrogue.

What was the final score of San Telmo vs Brown De Adrogue?

San Telmo 3-0 Brown De Adrogue in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Brown De Adrogue?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 47%, draw 28%, Brown De Adrogue 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Telmo), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (San Telmo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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