Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.48
Over 2.5
37%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
49%
-3.1pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
23%
-0.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.0pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -7%
1.28/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.55
+0% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -28%
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
329 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnasia Jujuy
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
16.03.2024 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-1 HT 2-1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
24.09.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
13.05.2023 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
25.09.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
28.08.2021 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
17.04.2021 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 2-0 HT 1-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnasia Jujuy squeezed past Tristan Suarez 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimnasia Jujuy as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Jujuy had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Gimnasia Jujuy and 1.17 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristan Suarez?

Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnasia Jujuy vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnasia Jujuy win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gimnasia Jujuy 46%, draw 32%, Tristan Suarez 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnasia Jujuy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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