Tristan Suarez 2-1 Gimnasia Jujuy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
25%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.48
Over 2.5
39%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.1pp
34%
Draw
30%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-4.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.7pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.47/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.62/1.26
+23% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tristan Suarez
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
24.09.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
13.05.2023 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 1-0 HT 0-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
25.09.2022 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-2 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
28.08.2021 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy ARJPBN
17.04.2021 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 2-0 HT 1-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tristan Suarez
2-1
AWAY Gimnasia Jujuy
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
5 Corners 1
POST-MATCH Tristan Suarez vs Gimnasia Jujuy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tristan Suarez squeezed past Gimnasia Jujuy 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Tristan Suarez as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tristan Suarez had 51% of the ball to Gimnasia Jujuy's 49%, shots finished 7-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Gimnasia Jujuy led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tristan Suarez and 1.40 for Gimnasia Jujuy.

What was the final score of Tristan Suarez vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Tristan Suarez 2-1 Gimnasia Jujuy in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tristan Suarez vs Gimnasia Jujuy?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tristan Suarez win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Tristan Suarez 41%, draw 34%, Gimnasia Jujuy 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tristan Suarez) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tristan Suarez) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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