Chacarita Juniors 1-4 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.09
Draw
35%
2.94
Away
34%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.45
Over 2.5
42%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
13%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
44%
-13.3pp
35%
Draw
30%
+4.6pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
65%
-7.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
35%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chacarita Juniors EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.77/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/0.77
+38% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +56%
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chacarita Juniors
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
28.06.2022 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-0 HT 0-0 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
16.11.2019 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 2-1 HT 2-1 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chacarita Juniors
1-4
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Chacarita Juniors vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores De Belgrano ran out comfortable winners over Chacarita Juniors 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 35% / 34% — and on the day Defensores De Belgrano made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chacarita Juniors had 53% of the ball to Defensores De Belgrano's 47%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chacarita Juniors and 2.00 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Chacarita Juniors vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Chacarita Juniors 1-4 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chacarita Juniors vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Chacarita Juniors 31%, draw 35%, Defensores De Belgrano 34%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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