San Martin San Juan 0-3 Quilmes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒03:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.18
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.19
No
54%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
20%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.6pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+4.0pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.8pp
54%
BTTS No
58%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Martin San Juan EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Quilmes EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +21%
1.84/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.03
+54% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +16%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 221 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Martin San Juan
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Quilmes
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
315 Passes 206
73% Pass Accuracy 64%
23 Box Touches 10
27 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.06.2022 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 2-1 HT 0-1 Quilmes Quilmes ARJPBN
06.05.2017 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 1-0 HT 0-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJ
03.10.2015 Quilmes Quilmes 2-0 HT 1-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
07.04.2013 Quilmes Quilmes 0-0 HT 0-0 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan ARJ
23.09.2012 San Martin San Juan San Martin San Juan 4-0 HT 3-0 Quilmes Quilmes ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Martin San Juan
0-3
AWAY Quilmes
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 5
3 Corners 2
POST-MATCH San Martin San Juan vs Quilmes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quilmes cruised past San Martin San Juan 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Quilmes made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, San Martin San Juan had 44% of the ball to Quilmes's 56%, shots finished 12-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, San Martin San Juan had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for San Martin San Juan and 0.60 for Quilmes.

What was the final score of San Martin San Juan vs Quilmes?

San Martin San Juan 0-3 Quilmes in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Martin San Juan vs Quilmes?

Before kick-off our model rated a San Martin San Juan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Martin San Juan 38%, draw 31%, Quilmes 31%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (San Martin San Juan), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (San Martin San Juan) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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