Brisbane Olympic FC 1-1 Brisbane Roar II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒09:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.89
Over 2.5
63%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.49
No
38%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.7pp
23%
Draw
19%
+3.6pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+8.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
31%
+5.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
69%
-5.9pp
62%
BTTS Yes
63%
-1.4pp
38%
BTTS No
37%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.85/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/2.52
-45% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
392 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.7 Crosses 12.7
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Olympic FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Brisbane Roar II
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.35 xG 1.40
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
569 Passes 297
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 3-2 HT 1-1 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
08.07.2023 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
26.03.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
11.06.2022 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 4-2 HT 3-2 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
27.03.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-5 HT 0-2 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
31.10.2021 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-3 HT 0-1 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Olympic FC and Brisbane Roar II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Brisbane Olympic FC at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (62%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Olympic FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Brisbane Olympic FC and 1.00 for Brisbane Roar II.

What was the final score of Brisbane Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar II?

Brisbane Olympic FC 1-1 Brisbane Roar II in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Olympic FC vs Brisbane Roar II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Olympic FC win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Olympic FC 50%, draw 23%, Brisbane Roar II 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Olympic FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Olympic FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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