Brisbane Roar II 3-2 Brisbane Olympic FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.8pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.41/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/0.87
-61% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
353 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 424 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses 12.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
1.40 xG 2.35
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
297 Passes 569
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.07.2023 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 4-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
26.03.2023 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-0 HT 1-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
11.06.2022 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 4-2 HT 3-2 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
27.03.2022 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-5 HT 0-2 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
31.10.2021 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 0-3 HT 0-1 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
12.09.2021 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVSQ
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Brisbane Olympic FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar II nicked a narrow win over Brisbane Olympic FC 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Brisbane Roar II as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Brisbane Olympic FC led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 2.67 for Brisbane Olympic FC.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Brisbane Roar II 3-2 Brisbane Olympic FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 41%, draw 27%, Brisbane Olympic FC 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Brisbane Roar II) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Brisbane Roar II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
AVNPL More Australia - National Premier League
28 Apr 2024
07:30 Charlestown City Blues vs Broadmeadow Magic Analysis →
07:30 Newcastle Olympic vs New Lambton FC Analysis →
08:00 Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Rochedale Rovers Analysis →
08:00 Western Sydney W. II vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers Analysis →
08:00 Gungahlin vs Monaro Panthers Analysis →
08:00 Sydney Olympic vs Blacktown City Demons Analysis →