Sabah 2-2 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.91
Over 2.5
43%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.85
No
59%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
58%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
48%
+8.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
52%
-8.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
50%
-9.1pp
59%
BTTS No
50%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabah EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 21%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
2.30/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.55
+17% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabah
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Shamakhi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.04.2023 Sabah Sabah 1-0 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
25.02.2023 Shamakhi Shamakhi 2-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
03.12.2022 Sabah Sabah 1-1 HT 1-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
02.10.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
24.04.2022 Sabah Sabah 5-1 HT 3-0 Shamakhi Shamakhi AZERS
06.03.2022 Shamakhi Shamakhi 0-1 HT 0-0 Sabah Sabah AZERS
POST-MATCH Sabah vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabah and Shamakhi couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Sabah carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sabah had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sabah and 0.67 for Shamakhi.

What was the final score of Sabah vs Shamakhi?

Sabah 2-2 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabah vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabah win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Sabah 56%, draw 23%, Shamakhi 21%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sabah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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AZERS More Azerbaijan - Super League
4 Aug 2024
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