FK Sarajevo 3-1 Sloboda Tuzla — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.25
Draw
20%
5.15
Away
17%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.81
No
58%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-13.5pp
20%
Draw
17%
+2.6pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
32%
+10.5pp
58%
BTTS No
68%
-10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Sarajevo EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Sloboda Tuzla EU Bookmakers 8%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
2.23/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/1.36
+6% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +60%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
394 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Sarajevo
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sloboda Tuzla
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.02.2024 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 1-1 HT 0-1 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSK
02.04.2023 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 2-3 HT 2-2 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
05.11.2022 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 2-0 HT 1-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSN
19.08.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-1 HT 0-1 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
22.05.2022 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo 1-0 HT 1-0 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla BOSN
16.03.2022 Sloboda Tuzla Sloboda Tuzla 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Sarajevo FK Sarajevo BOSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Sarajevo
3-1
AWAY Sloboda Tuzla
59% Ball Possession 41%
29 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Sarajevo vs Sloboda Tuzla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Sarajevo beat Sloboda Tuzla 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Sarajevo as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FK Sarajevo had 59% of the ball to Sloboda Tuzla's 41%, shots finished 29-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Sarajevo had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FK Sarajevo and 1.00 for Sloboda Tuzla.

What was the final score of FK Sarajevo vs Sloboda Tuzla?

FK Sarajevo 3-1 Sloboda Tuzla in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Sarajevo vs Sloboda Tuzla?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Sarajevo win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split FK Sarajevo 63%, draw 20%, Sloboda Tuzla 17%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Sarajevo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Sarajevo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
4 Aug 2024
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