Amazonas vs Ituano Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Amazonas v Ituano — Team-Based Signals
Amazonas 1-0 Ituano — Actual Match Statistics
Amazonas edged past Ituano 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Amazonas as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, Amazonas had 73% of the ball to Ituano's 27%, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 1.96 to 0.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Amazonas's control.
What was the final score of Amazonas vs Ituano?
Amazonas 1-0 Ituano in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Amazonas vs Ituano?
Before kick-off our model rated a Amazonas win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Amazonas 50%, draw 28%, Ituano 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Amazonas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.