Ponte Preta vs Avai Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ponte Preta v Avai — Team-Based Signals
Ponte Preta vs Avai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
0-1
HT 0-1
Ponte Preta
BR2
1-1
HT 1-0
Ponte Preta
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Avai
BR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Avai
BR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Ponte Preta
BR2
Ponte Preta 1-0 Avai — Actual Match Statistics
Ponte Preta squeezed past Avai 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ponte Preta as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Ponte Preta had 48% of the ball to Avai's 52%, shots finished 19-11, expected goals 0.90 to 1.09.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ponte Preta and 0.67 for Avai.
What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Avai?
Ponte Preta 1-0 Avai in the Brazil - Serie B on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Avai?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ponte Preta win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 45%, draw 27%, Avai 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponte Preta), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.