Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Concacaf League Cup, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.44
2-3 Goals
38%
2.0
4-5 Goals
28%
2.67
6+ Goals
13%
6.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-2.4pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.3pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vancouver Whitecaps
3-1
AWAY Tijuana
1.59 xG 0.72
39% Ball Possession 61%
13 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
252 Passes 426
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 20
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vancouver Whitecaps vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vancouver Whitecaps got the better of Tijuana 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Vancouver Whitecaps as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Vancouver Whitecaps had 39% of the ball to Tijuana's 61%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.59 to 0.72.

What was the final score of Vancouver Whitecaps vs Tijuana?

Vancouver Whitecaps 3-1 Tijuana in the Concacaf League Cup on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vancouver Whitecaps vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vancouver Whitecaps win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vancouver Whitecaps 47%, draw 27%, Tijuana 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vancouver Whitecaps) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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