Avarta 1-0 Holbaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 4 Aug 2024

Avarta
1-0 HT 0-0
Holbaek
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒14:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2025/2026

Avarta vs Holbaek Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-1.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Avarta v Holbaek — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Avarta EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Holbaek EU Bookmakers 42%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +46% / +46%
0.89/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-44% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards –

Avarta vs Holbaek Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Avarta
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Holbaek
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.06.2024 Avarta Avarta 0-0 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
03.05.2024 Holbaek Holbaek 1-1 HT 0-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
03.11.2023 Holbaek Holbaek 1-0 HT 0-0 Avarta Avarta DAN3
25.08.2023 Avarta Avarta 1-0 HT 0-0 Holbaek Holbaek DAN3
03.11.2019 Holbaek Holbaek 0-2 HT 0-1 Avarta Avarta DAN2
22.09.2019 Avarta Avarta 2-2 HT 1-1 Holbaek Holbaek DAN2
POST-MATCH Avarta vs Holbaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avarta squeezed past Holbaek 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 28% / 36%) promised a tight game; Avarta found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avarta had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Avarta and 0.67 for Holbaek.

What was the final score of Avarta vs Holbaek?

Avarta 1-0 Holbaek in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Avarta vs Holbaek?

Before kick-off our model rated a Avarta win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Avarta 37%, draw 28%, Holbaek 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avarta) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Avarta) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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