Zhenys 1-2 Aktobe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
3.75
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
51%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
28%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
23%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
51%
Away Win
53%
-1.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zhenys EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aktobe EU Bookmakers 57%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -12%
0.66/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.18
-33% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -37%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zhenys
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Aktobe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
31.03.2024 Aktobe Aktobe 3-0 HT 2-0 Zhenys KAZP
POST-MATCH Zhenys vs Aktobe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aktobe nicked a narrow win over Zhenys 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aktobe as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Zhenys vs Aktobe?

Zhenys 1-2 Aktobe in the Kazakistan - Super League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zhenys vs Aktobe?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aktobe win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Zhenys 22%, draw 27%, Aktobe 51%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aktobe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aktobe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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KAZP More Kazakistan - Super League
4 Aug 2024
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