Follo 4-6 Valerenga II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 4 Aug 2024

Follo
4-6 HT 2-1
Valerenga II
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Norway - 2nd Division – 2024

Follo vs Valerenga II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.8
Away
26%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.46
Over 2.5
67%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.31
No
34%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
8.66
2-3 Goals
36%
2.39
4-5 Goals
29%
2.36
6+ Goals
18%
3.92
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
34%
+10.6pp
30%
Draw
23%
+6.8pp
26%
Away Win
43%
-17.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
25%
+7.9pp
67%
Over 2.5
75%
-7.8pp
66%
BTTS Yes
72%
-6.6pp
34%
BTTS No
28%
+6.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Follo v Valerenga II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Follo EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga II EU Bookmakers 48%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
2.32/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.89
+39% / +47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -48%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
342 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Follo vs Valerenga II Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Follo
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Valerenga II
3.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.06.2024 Valerenga II Valerenga II 0-3 HT 0-2 Follo Follo NOR3
08.09.2014 Valerenga II Valerenga II 1-4 HT 1-3 Follo Follo NOR3
POST-MATCH Follo vs Valerenga II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valerenga II beat Follo 6-4 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Follo at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (66%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Follo had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.50 goals for Follo and 0.50 for Valerenga II.

What was the final score of Follo vs Valerenga II?

Follo 4-6 Valerenga II in the Norway - 2nd Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Follo vs Valerenga II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Follo win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Follo 44%, draw 30%, Valerenga II 26%. The final score 4-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Follo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Follo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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