Ullensaker / Kisa 5-1 Junkeren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.34
Draw
15%
5.15
Away
21%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
7.15
2-3 Goals
26%
2.2
4-5 Goals
33%
2.45
6+ Goals
15%
4.72
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
12%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
70%
-6.1pp
16%
Draw
16%
-0.4pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.2pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Junkeren EU Bookmakers 18%
-8% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
2.86/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/2.95
+9% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -27%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
409 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Junkeren
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
09.06.2024 Junkeren Junkeren 3-0 HT 1-0 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR3
12.08.2023 Junkeren Junkeren 0-0 HT 0-0 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR3
07.05.2023 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa 1-1 HT 1-0 Junkeren Junkeren NOR3
POST-MATCH Ullensaker / Kisa vs Junkeren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ullensaker / Kisa swept aside Junkeren 5-1. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ullensaker / Kisa as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Junkeren led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ullensaker / Kisa and 1.33 for Junkeren.

What was the final score of Ullensaker / Kisa vs Junkeren?

Ullensaker / Kisa 5-1 Junkeren in the Norway - 2nd Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullensaker / Kisa vs Junkeren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ullensaker / Kisa win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Ullensaker / Kisa 64%, draw 16%, Junkeren 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ullensaker / Kisa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ullensaker / Kisa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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