Spjelkavik 2-1 Aalesund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
27%
4.08
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.59
Over 2.5
62%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.46
No
43%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.5pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.2pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
35%
+3.4pp
62%
Over 2.5
65%
-3.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
64%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS No
36%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spjelkavik EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund II EU Bookmakers 31%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
1.63/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.36
-27% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.8 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spjelkavik
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Aalesund II
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
42% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Aalesund II Aalesund II 2-1 HT 2-1 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik NOR4
23.10.2022 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Aalesund II Aalesund II NOR4
11.04.2022 Aalesund II Aalesund II 2-0 HT 0-0 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik NOR4
18.10.2021 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Aalesund II Aalesund II NOR4
POST-MATCH Spjelkavik vs Aalesund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spjelkavik squeezed past Aalesund II 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spjelkavik as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Aalesund II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Spjelkavik and 1.75 for Aalesund II.

What was the final score of Spjelkavik vs Aalesund II?

Spjelkavik 2-1 Aalesund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spjelkavik vs Aalesund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spjelkavik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spjelkavik 42%, draw 27%, Aalesund II 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spjelkavik), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spjelkavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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