Aalesund II 2-1 Spjelkavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.53
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
14%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.98
Over 2.5
66%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.43
No
43%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
28%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
61%
+3.6pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.2pp
14%
Away Win
19%
-4.7pp
34%
Under 2.5
30%
+3.6pp
66%
Over 2.5
70%
-3.6pp
57%
BTTS Yes
66%
-8.9pp
43%
BTTS No
34%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund II EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Spjelkavik EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
2.99/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/2.95
+16% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund II
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Spjelkavik
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
57% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.10.2022 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik 1-1 HT 0-0 Aalesund II Aalesund II NOR4
11.04.2022 Aalesund II Aalesund II 2-0 HT 0-0 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik NOR4
18.10.2021 Spjelkavik Spjelkavik 0-2 HT 0-0 Aalesund II Aalesund II NOR4
POST-MATCH Aalesund II vs Spjelkavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund II edged past Spjelkavik 2-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aalesund II as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aalesund II had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aalesund II and 0.33 for Spjelkavik.

What was the final score of Aalesund II vs Spjelkavik?

Aalesund II 2-1 Spjelkavik in the Norway - 3rd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund II vs Spjelkavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund II win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Aalesund II 65%, draw 21%, Spjelkavik 14%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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