Hodd II 4-3 Gjellerasen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
3.14
Over 2.5
67%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.32
No
36%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.2pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+3.6pp
33%
Under 2.5
28%
+4.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
72%
-4.6pp
64%
BTTS Yes
72%
-7.6pp
36%
BTTS No
28%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hodd II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Gjellerasen EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.86/2.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.52
+41% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -57% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
402 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hodd II
4-3
AWAY Gjellerasen
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hodd II vs Gjellerasen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hodd II edged past Gjellerasen 4-3. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gjellerasen at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, Hodd II had 54% of the ball to Gjellerasen's 46%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of Hodd II vs Gjellerasen?

Hodd II 4-3 Gjellerasen in the Norway - 3rd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hodd II vs Gjellerasen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gjellerasen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hodd II 36%, draw 22%, Gjellerasen 42%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gjellerasen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gjellerasen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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