Melhus 3-1 Lilleström II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 7 Apr 2024

📅07/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
38%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.96
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
No
38%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
16%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.0pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.0pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melhus EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Lilleström II EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.84/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/2.01
-58% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melhus
3-1
AWAY Lilleström II
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melhus vs Lilleström II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melhus saw off Lilleström II 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (38% / 24% / 38%) promised a tight game; Melhus found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Melhus had 40% of the ball to Lilleström II's 60%, shots finished 8-16.

What was the final score of Melhus vs Lilleström II?

Melhus 3-1 Lilleström II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 07/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melhus vs Lilleström II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melhus win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Melhus 38%, draw 24%, Lilleström II 38%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (38/24/38) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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