Wisla Pulawy 1-2 Kalisz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
43%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.27
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.61
6+ Goals
10%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 30% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Pulawy EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Kalisz EU Bookmakers 45%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
0.78/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.97
-41% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Pulawy
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Kalisz
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.03.2024 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-1 HT 1-0 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
19.08.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 1-0 HT 1-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
29.04.2023 Kalisz Kalisz 0-1 HT 0-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
24.09.2022 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 3-1 HT 1-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
14.03.2022 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy 1-3 HT 0-1 Kalisz Kalisz POL2
28.08.2021 Kalisz Kalisz 3-1 HT 1-0 Wisla Pulawy Wisla Pulawy POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Pulawy
1-2
AWAY Kalisz
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Wisla Pulawy vs Kalisz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kalisz squeezed past Wisla Pulawy 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kalisz as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Wisla Pulawy had 49% of the ball to Kalisz's 51%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kalisz led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Wisla Pulawy and 1.50 for Kalisz.

What was the final score of Wisla Pulawy vs Kalisz?

Wisla Pulawy 1-2 Kalisz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Pulawy vs Kalisz?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kalisz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Wisla Pulawy 33%, draw 24%, Kalisz 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kalisz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kalisz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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