Neftekhimik 1-0 Rotor Volgograd — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.16
No
61%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.4pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.3pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neftekhimik EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Rotor Volgograd EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.24/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.49
-6% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neftekhimik
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.03.2022 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 2-1 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
15.09.2021 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 1-3 HT 1-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
09.03.2020 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd 1-1 HT 1-0 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik RUS1
17.03.2014 Neftekhimik Neftekhimik 2-1 HT 1-0 Rotor Volgograd Rotor Volgograd RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neftekhimik
1-0
AWAY Rotor Volgograd
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neftekhimik vs Rotor Volgograd
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neftekhimik squeezed past Rotor Volgograd 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neftekhimik as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Neftekhimik had 49% of the ball to Rotor Volgograd's 51%, shots finished 17-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Rotor Volgograd led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Neftekhimik and 1.75 for Rotor Volgograd.

What was the final score of Neftekhimik vs Rotor Volgograd?

Neftekhimik 1-0 Rotor Volgograd in the Russia - FNL on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neftekhimik vs Rotor Volgograd?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neftekhimik win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Neftekhimik 42%, draw 32%, Rotor Volgograd 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neftekhimik), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Neftekhimik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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